Editor's Note: Due to space constraints, this article was PRINTED in a shorter version. This is the longer version.
Author's Note: This month's column is inspired by the 40th anniversary of Earth Day (April 22, 2010) and an imminent decision which is weighing heavy with me right now. I have one child and am considering having or adopting a second. I don't think I get a pass on thinking hard about how many children to have just because I'm trying really hard to reduce our impact. While making many efforts to reduce our consumption and environmental footprints below the average American, my family is still probably using significantly more resources than the average Indian.

First Things First: Getting past premises
Population is a tough topic and talking about it often devolves in to fighting about it, I think due to some preconceptions people have. If the following two premises are accepted then we can have a rational discussion.
1.The earth is a finite resource - and its ability to support growing populations (and/or consumption levels) is LIMITED. (Put another way: there is an upper limit for the combination of population and consumption).
2.Technology improvements can increase our efficient use (and disposal) of resources, but also have realistic limits, and cannot overcome the limits of growth provided by a finite planet.
If these premises are not accepted then I'm not sure we're operating in a joint reality, or living on the same planet. And maybe you should stop reading now...
Consumption and Population
In my 10 years being an active environmentalist, I haven't done as much learning and exploring in the field of population. Early on I was "fooled" into believing my best efforts to impact the environment were to focus pretty exclusively on consumption. The idea is that by addressing over consumption you could reduce negative impact, increase positive impact through pro-social types of consumption, and increase personal quality of life through reduced work, debt, stress.... Since I was living/working in the highest consuming part of the world (the US), it was pretty natural that the focus of efforts should be addressing the developed world problem of over consumption. (As I was being taught, it would be the developing world's task to address overpopulation).
It's recently come to my attention though, that since the levels of consumption of average Americans far exceed those in the developing world where most of the world's population is, that population reductions in the developed world are much more valuable on a per capita resource use reduction basis than in the developing world. Developed world consumption level is often WAY above average making their footprints extent far beyond their borders sniping resources from and depositing wastes on other populations.
Unfortunately, I come to this article with incomplete information. I am likely to present a lot of problem and not much in the way of solution. I hope I can share more developed thinking on this in the future. In some of the recent heated conversations I've had (including being called racist), I am listening, hearing and learning that the proposed solutions to population issues are fraught with moral, ethical and religious principles which sometimes fly in the face of the not obviously clear science around the issue.
We can take a course of action which says any attempts at population control, stabilization, reduction are "off the table", but then I think we all, everyone of us, really needs to seriously consider bringing American daily average consumption closer in line with the rest of the world. Let's be generous here: If 3 billion people are living on less than $2.50/day, it shouldn't be so unrealistic for us to consider Americans aiming for something like $10/day. If you think we can do it, let's do it. That or seriously consider options for a deliberate, equitable, humane program for encouraging our population to get in line with our planet's ability to support it. You know, which ever is easier...
Population "Control" or "Reduction" or "Shrinking":
The words we use or have been used in the environmental/population debate have a lot of power and meaning. No one likes to use the term population control, but let's face it whether you call it control or not, the idea is that our species is intelligent enough to avoid the less civilized, "natural" solutions afflicting other species as they reach the carrying capacity of their environment. If other species grow their population beyond the carrying capacity of their habitat, they will have a violent or starvation-filled population die-off or crash in order to bring their population into alignment with their habitat.
The phrases "population reduction" or "reduce the number of people" can quickly raise hackles. True, the options for reducing population are limited to having more deaths and/or having fewer births. Let's take the presumed more humane approach and have confidence we can consider alternatives taking place over generations through pre-emptively avoided births, and not more scary culling meanings - ideally that strive to increase quality of population over quantity. (I could have used a "Find/Replace" to change all the "reduction" words to "shrinking", but I hope you'll give me the more positive meaning.)
"The more we sweat in peace, the less we bleed in war." - Vijaya Lakshmi Pandit
Yes, talking about ideas for population solutions is a hard issue with equity, social justice, economics, moral/ethical and religious aspects. However, I think the situation is dire enough that if we don't sweat it out working on solutions that may involve perceived or actual sacrifice, we will eventually fight and bleed and suffer even more as a result of our inaction. There are already many parts of the world (and even places in our country) where scarce resources result in gross inequity, and often fighting or even deaths. The American/developed world lifestyle is implicated at least indirectly in those deaths since we put such a disproportionate demand on the extraction and exportation of resources from areas that don't have enough for themselves.
It is hard to engage people to talk about population without running into barriers of fiercely held moral, ethical or religious beliefs. However, I feel it's preferable to sweat through those discussions, debates and barriers than to bleed through a solution when lack of agreement leads to fighting.
"Selfish?... have babies."
Periodically for at least 8 years there has been a large sign on back of Walt Rave's truck (otherwise known as the guy who walks around Old Town Takoma with the dead fox in a trap) intending to communicate disapproval of human population growth and its impact on other species and the environment. Years ago a friend and I had a long conversation with Walt about the ambiguity of his slogan. Walt was surprised to learn my friend's quite legitimate interpretation. That if you are selfish, have children, and they will teach to not be selfish. This, of course, flew in the face of the intended meaning: if you are selfish, you have children because you're not thinking about other living things (humans and otherwise).
Though, as recently heard on Mike Tidwell's last Earthbeat radio program, studies show children or grandchildren are the number one motivating factor to do anything environmental. It's precisely our hereditary investment in the future which makes us give a damn about the future they will be inheriting.
"If you're not part of the solution, you're part of the problem." (Eldridge Cleaver variation or African Proverb)
When looking at population and growth there's often a focus on the country or region of growth. It makes sense to view overall growth as well, as that's the context we have for whether our planet can sustain the current population, increased growth, or actually requires a smaller population. Often fertility rates (children per women) are quoted to show/state that a population for a country or region is not growing. Then the conclusion is made that that group doesn't need to do anything about population. But left unsaid is whether the current global population level is sustainable (at current or idealized consumption rates). And therefor does that group need to be part of any population reduction?
A Human Right - A Religious Mandate
So if it's a human right to procreate as much as we want, is there also a human responsibility to consume resources and create waste at a level that is both equitable and sustainable? Is it okay to consume/dispose at a rate that compromises other species' survival? Is it okay to consume/dispose at a rate that compromises or limits the ability of other humans access to the same standard of living that we enjoy?
And, if there's a faith-based guidance that procreation should have no limits, then that faith must also embrace either a proportional REDUCED level of consumption or the periodic non-violent or violent die-off (aka suffering) of its own (or another) population.
On average, the consumption rate of 300 million Americans is such that if everyone else (6.5 billion) consumed like we did, we'd need 4 more planets to supply the natural resources and absorb the waste. If we can't figure out any population solutions, we will either have to significantly reduce consumption, or continue to live with the inequity of some populations consuming more than their fair share of resources, and lots more (a majority maybe) of people consuming below what many would consider a minimum standard of living.
What is the human rights or religious response to this situation?
Limits to Growth
After reading "The Population Bomb" by Paul Ehrlich (1968), many people came away with the thought that there was imminent human die-off coming. And it would be ugly. And when it didn't come exactly as expected, there was much criticism of the author. But this is the trouble with activist soothsayers. They make their predictions explicitly so that people respond to them and prove them wrong. In being proved wrong they have "succeeded" (via their predictions not coming true), though we may find it hard to believe them or times in the future when others make similar predictions. (For more on the paradox of the activist soothsayer, see "Believing Cassandra: An optimist looks at a pessimist's world" by Alan AtKisson (1999))
The classic book on future world modeling is "Limits To Growth" by Dana Meadows, et al (1979). In it a dire future is "projected" with the explicit instructions that we have just enough intelligence, technology and political will to avoid the projections. That we have the social clairvoyance, and that if we make the effort, we can work out the necessary solutions, just in time to avoid the worst consequences. Is this level of optimism in the face of our current situation and in light of human nature and selfishness unrealistic? Maybe... but sometimes that's all we have to keep us moving forward.
Happy Earth Day (Month)!
Sat Jiwan Iklé-Khalsa is now "low-flow" blogging at: www.Truthful-Living.blogspot.com and is a recent green home renovator and a green building/renovation consultant . Find past articles, local green building stores, info, resources, including annotated green house renovation photos and services at: www.Truthful-Living.com or call 301.891.8891
First Step? - One not so controversial idea
For whatever reason it seems people concerned about any domestic population policy are fully on board with current international family planning policies. The recent studies show that without any incentives or coercion, providing access to reproductive health services and empowering and educating women results in smaller families. Given that County Councilmember Duchy Trachtenberg announced (Gazette, 2/10/10) a recent report showing the county is under serving the demand for family planning services by 66%, she has plans to increase access in the county. Seems this proposal, and programs to empower and educate women is something that a lot of people can and should support. At least as a first step before assessing other population proposals that might require a little more sweat...
Earth Day (Month) Events and non-events:
April 22, 2010 marks the 40th annivesary of Earth Day. Find events near you or participate in highlighted events or activities below...
Thursday, April 15 - Chesapeake Climate Action Network's fourth annual "Artists for the Climate" event 7:30pm. Join authors Bill McKibben, Jeff Biggers and Mike Tidwell, and Lissy Rosemont of the Junior League Band for an evening of inspiration and action. Foundry United Methodist Church, 1500 --16th St, NW, Washington, DC 20036. Tickets $10-15 at www.ChesapeakeClimate.org
Friday, April 16 - "End of Suburbia: Oil Depletion & The Collapse of the American Dream" screening (and discussion) - Transition Takoma presents the award-winning documentary and discussion to get involved and learn what your neighbors are doing to create a better future. Takoma Park Presbyterian Church
310 Tulip Ave. (corner of Maple Ave, three blocks from Takoma Metro) Admission free; donations welcome
Saturday, April 17
Conversation with Steve McFadden, sustainable agriculture expert and author of "The Call of the Land: An Agrarian Primer for the 21st Century," presented by Montgomery Victory Gardens and others. 6-8pm, TPSS Coop, 201 Ethan Allen Ave, community room, enter through the rear of the building. Donations collected for admission, no one turned away.
Native Plant Sale from Chesapeake Natives 1-4pm - Looking to do some planting this spring? (beyond vegetable gardens)? Get some high quality, native plants at a good price. 7125 Willow Ave, Takoma Park, MD (rain date April 24) www.ChesapeakeNatives.com
Sunday, April 18 - Silver Spring Earth Day 5K, 9 am Downtown Silver Spring - run and raise donations to support The Nature Conservancy. Goal: $25,000 to build an oyster sanctuary in a Maryland river. www.SilverSpring5k.com
Saturday, April 24 - Mainstreet Takoma Clean-Up Day, 9am- 12pm - make Old Takoma sparkle. Activities include weeding, mulching, planting flowers, and picking up litter. Meet at Laurel Ave. by the clock tower, by Morrison Park at Takoma Junction, or Triangle Park at 4th and Blair in the District.
Sunday, April 25 - Earth Day Celebration -- Old Takoma, 8am - 4pm - Come celebrate Spring and Earth Day with events at TPSS Co-op and at Takoma Park Farmers Market, special promotions at local businesses and the Takoma Voice Bike-Around. Details and schedule of events at: http://www.mainstreettakoma.org/event/51
Two bicycle shops opening in Takoma!
Green Commuter - (opening April 2010) specializing in electric bikes, and sales and service for conventional bikes in Takoma Junction - www.TheGreenCommuter.net
Takoma Bicycle - (open now) springing up where Takoma Park Bikes used to be in Old Town - www.TakomaBicycle.com
Eco-garden Service - Purple Mountain Organics offers bio-diesel powered grass-to-garden conversions, and other services: "...initial cultivation of garden plot to construction of raised beds/planters, to consultation services with our specialists for your specific green living needs." (and sells tools, seedlings, supplies at TPSS coop (Takoma Location) - www.PurpleMountainOrganics.com
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